The Goal: Can solar, wind and battery storage, on their own, deliver constant round-the-clock "baseload" power 24/7/365, and at what cost? This tool tests that question at thousands of locations worldwide. Set wind to zero and you get the original solar-and-battery atlas, unchanged.
Solar & Weather Data: NASA POWER (Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources), hourly 2015–2024, run through a tilted-panel model and calibrated to the Global Solar Atlas (World Bank Group / Solargis). Limits: the calibration factor is capped at 1.10, which holds 22 regions below it; in the Atacama they sit about 10% below the Global Solar Atlas. Above about 60°N, where it has no data, a region takes the median factor of its 8 nearest calibrated regions (0.3% of people, 3.9% of demand, mostly in Russia and the Nordics). Snow losses are not modelled.
Wind resource: Global Wind Atlas 4 (DTU Wind Energy and the World Bank, 2025, CC BY 4.0) for siting and long-run capacity factor; ERA5 100 m winds (Copernicus Climate Change Service, via the analysis-ready copy on Google Cloud) for the hourly shape, 2015–2024. Land eligibility uses the World Bank / ESMAP Global Photovoltaic Power Potential masking layers (built-up areas, protected areas, water and severe terrain), the World Database on Protected Areas (UNEP-WCMC and IUCN, October 2026) and the Global Human Settlement Layer (JRC, GHS-BUILT-S 2020); bathymetry is ETOPO 2022 (NOAA). Levels are calibrated to new-build capacity factors from IRENA, Renewable Energy Statistics 2026 and Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2025. Method after Peña-Sánchez et al., Nature Communications, 2026.
Wind costs: IRENA, Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2025. Global mode starts from IRENA's global averages: onshore $1,085/kW (the 2023–2025 mean), falling to IRENA's 2035 projection and on to 2050 at the same rate; offshore $2,931/kW, falling along the Danish Energy Agency's fixed-bottom path (DEA Technology Catalogue). Local mode gives each cell its country's installed cost. Onshore, that is IRENA's 2023–2025 mean where IRENA lists the country (figure 2.4), otherwise its 2025 regional figure (table 2.1). Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have no IRENA value; they take the mean of IRENA's 2025 values for Egypt, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan ($1,377/kW), markets supplied largely by Chinese manufacturers, instead of the regional $1,713. Onshore capex follows IRENA's projected decline to 2035 and on to 2050 at the same rate; offshore follows DEA's paths. Offshore capex is adjusted to the depth and distance from shore of the sea the cell's capacity factor comes from (the area-weighted mean over its windiest fifth), using DEA's cost relationships, with HVDC beyond 100 km; countries without an offshore market take IRENA's global average adjusted the same way, and other Asian countries, Taiwan among them, IRENA's Asian average excluding China (figure 4.4). Offshore capex is never below 1.5 times the cell's onshore capex, a conservative floor: IRENA's global offshore cost is about 2.7 times onshore. It binds in 254 cells, mostly in Asia, and sets all of Japan ($4,217/kW), which has no IRENA offshore value. All of that sea is at most 60 m deep, so offshore is costed as fixed-bottom. Wind O&M comes from IRENA's LCOE assumptions – by country where IRENA lists one (onshore table A3, offshore table A6), otherwise its OECD or non-OECD group, which covers about 65% of cells onshore and 87% offshore – and follows DEA's O&M trajectory to 2035 and 2050 (2050 at about 0.90 of 2024 onshore and 0.64 for fixed-bottom offshore). O&M therefore falls more slowly than capex. Global mode's onshore capex is IRENA's global weighted average, which Chinese installations weight heavily: a China-weighted world average, not the cost of a typical European or North American project. Offshore costs include the export grid, so they sit above tender prices where the grid operator pays for it (the Netherlands, Germany, Denmark, Belgium and France). UK and Irish auction prices sit above the atlas partly because they carry network charges (high in Scotland), and the UK's Contracts for Difference also carry balancing costs and a 20-year term. Both modes treat their cost data (IRENA's 2025 figures) as 2026 costs, the atlas's fixed cost year, and decline from there, so the two modes start from the same year; the legend states the cost year. Local mode's cost of capital is held at 2025 rates across the timeline. Wind is assumed to last 30 years (NREL ATB; Danish Energy Agency); IRENA's own LCOE convention is 25 years. At 25 years, adding wind lowers the cost of 90% uptime for places that use 79% of the world's electricity and for 49% of its people, against 81% and 52% at 30 years.
Population Data: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), Gridded Population of the World (GPW), v4
Electricity Consumption Data: Chen et al. (2022), Scientific Data 9, 202. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.17004523
Power Plant Data: Global Energy Monitor, Global Coal Plant Tracker, Global Oil & Gas Plant Tracker, Global Bioenergy Plant Tracker, Global Nuclear Plant Tracker, December 2024 release. Data available under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Solar Potential (PVOUT): Global Solar Atlas (World Bank Group / Solargis). Used in the Potential Map to estimate realistic annual generation per area.
Wind Potential: onshore from the atlas's own wind siting, at 5 MW/km² (low case 3 MW/km²) on eligible land that reaches at least 15% net capacity factor before calibration; offshore from World Bank Group / ESMAP, Global Offshore Wind Technical Potential (2021), CC BY 4.0, reallocated to the atlas's cells. Method in Notes on the controls.
Grid Reliability & Electricity Access: High Resolution Electricity Access (HREA), University of Michigan; Min et al. (2024), Joule 8, 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2024.05.001. Data: hrea.isr.umich.edu/data.html. Used in the Supply-Demand Matching demand layers.
Cost of Capital (WACC): Country-level WACC from Hatton et al. (2025), Sci Data 12, 1912. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-06177-0. Local mode uses the v3 dataset (Zenodo, 2026; https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18662192) for solar and wind: each Voronoi cell takes its country's 2025 rate, or a neighbouring country's where the dataset has none, applied as published, not deflated, and held flat over the timeline. Wind has separate onshore, offshore and floating rates per cell. Global mode prices wind at the WACC input plus a premium: by default +0.0 points onshore, since onshore wind equals solar PV in the dataset's 2025 values, and +0.92 points offshore, the median offshore-over-onshore gap across 174 countries (v3, 2026).
Local CAPEX Assumptions: Regional solar and battery CAPEX assumptions from IRENA/IEA/BNEF; Oceania and Saudi Arabia from IRENA's 2024 installed costs (Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2025), Saudi Arabia's also for the other Gulf states, and Korea's for Taiwan. Local mode maps each Voronoi cell to a region and interpolates 2026/2035/2050 values by year; wind capex and O&M are interpolated the same way (see Wind costs). The 66 cells missing from the local cost files use the global inputs, including the global WACC and wind premiums.
Wind Output Degradation: 0.2%/yr onshore and offshore by default, after Hamilton et al., Joule 4 (2020), who find 0.17%/yr for newer US wind plants (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2020.04.005); older fleets in the US, Sweden and Germany lose 0.5–0.6%/yr. We found no peer-reviewed offshore-specific estimate, so offshore takes the onshore figure.
Diesel Prices: Retail diesel pump prices (World Bank / GlobalPetrolPrices), clamped to a global unsubsidised floor. Used for the optional diesel-backup comparison.
Gas Prices: Regional wholesale gas prices (IGU Wholesale Gas Price Survey 2024); regions with no gas market default to diesel. Local mode uses these and per-country pump prices for diesel (World Bank / GlobalPetrolPrices 2025); Global uses the inputs in the panel.
Created by the Electrotech Revolution team, 2026.
Population by Latitude · Capacity Factor by Latitude